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On The Shortage of Aerospace CNC Machinists

July 2, 2015 Christian Frueh Topics: Leadership

CNC aerospace machinists

Evaero requires skilled employees in every facet of our business, from machinists and inspectors to assemblers and hand workers, yet we are continually challenged to find the right people to fill these positions. This isn’t unusual for a manufacturing company specializing in CNC machining of complex aerospace parts. And according to the 2015 ManpowerGroup Talent Shortage Survey, which suggests that the hardest jobs to fill in the Americas are those needing “skilled trade workers,” we are not alone.

One might assume the difficulty in filling these positions is due to demand and/or a skills gap, but I think otherwise.

The outlook for the commercial aerospace industry remains promising. For example, Boeing recently announced it is forecasting a demand for 38,050 new airplanes valued at $5.6 trillion dollars over the next 20 years, an increase of 3.5 percent over last year. With that kind of growth in demand for airplanes, it’s reasonable to assume the demand for skilled trade workers in the aerospace industry will also increase. However, for one to conclude it’s because of this demand that positions are hard to fill, one would have to demonstrate that wages have taken a big leap.

And they haven’t: Between 2009 and 2014, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that wages for the jobs noted above barely moved. For example, the average annual increase in median wages over these five years for a CNC operator (BLS code 51-4011) and a CNC programmer (BLS code 51-4012) was, respectively, 1.12 percent and 0.65 percent per year. That’s paltry when compared to the 3 percent annual increases purchasing managers enjoyed over the same time period. Furthermore, because 90th percentile wage data show the same level of annual increases, the demand wasn’t reserved for those with more experience/skill.

Since wages have not gone up much, demand cannot be the reason it’s so hard to fill positions in our industry.

What about the so-called skills gap?

Although technology in our industry has evolved significantly over the years, other than being able to use a computer, I doubt the educational requirements for employment are any different than they were 30 years ago: basic mathematics and the ability to read and write. A recent study published by the Economic Policy Institute supports this assessment:

  • While skill requirements are real – a strong back no longer suffices – the skills manufacturers seek are at the community college level or below, well within the reach of the vast majority of Americans.
  • The demand for some basic skills is extensive, although fewer than half of manufacturing employers seek the full complement of basic reading skills (defined as the ability to read basic manuals), basic writing skills (the ability to write short notes), and basic math skills (the ability to add, subtract, multiply, divide, and handle fractions).
  • While 38.0 percent of manufacturing firms require extended math skills, the level of math expected is within reach of a good high school or, at most, community college education.

So, if neither demand nor a skills gap can be explain why companies feel it’s hard to fill jobs requiring skilled trade workers, what’s the root of the problem? I’ll save my ideas about this for next week but until then I wanted to leave you with some music (click here for my Spotify Playlist).

Flore M…soul, blues, gospel…doesn’t get much better than this. I was introduced to her via a music festival in one of my favorite European cities, Strasbourg, France.  She just released her first album called This is Who I Am.  Here’s a song from the album…I hope you like it.

À bientôt…xian

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Photo Credit: tudedude via Compfight cc

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Some might argue that by disabling comments on a blog, the impact of a blog is lessened. While I’m inclined to agree, there are circumstances when, without some extra measures of anonymity, people are simply not going to put themselves out there and opine. So, for now, I’m opting to turn the comments off.

Having said that, I am interested to hear from you. Good, bad, or otherwise, please feel free to drop me a line at xian@evaero.com. I’m the only person who will read your email and, as time allows, I’ll do my best, at a minimum, to personally acknowledge receipt.

About Christian Frueh

With a Ph.D in Materials Science and Engineering and a minor in Anthropology, Christian is a thoughtful leader who looks at things from a scientific perspective: Solve problems, don’t make assumptions.

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